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A near 20% surge in bitcoin over the past five days has helped catapult the cryptocurrency's short-term momentum into positive territory.That's according to Katie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies, who sees an additional 6% upside potential until bitcoin hits its next resistance level."We expect short-term overbought conditions to be weathered long enough for a test of minor resistance near $52,900," Stockton said.Sign up here for our daily newsletter, 10 Things Before the Opening Bell.
The rally helped end a volatile September that saw multiple prices declines of as much as 18% before a full recovery ensued. The upside volatility in bitcoin helped drive a weekly "bullish pop" in the stochastics indicator Stockton monitors for intermediate signals.
The risk-on surge in bitcoin materialized despite an ongoing sell-off in stocks as investors worry about rising interest rates, ongoing supply chain disruptions, and the uncertainty of Congress' ability to raise the US debt ceiling. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were down 5% and 7% since the start of September, while bitcoin was up 2% over the same time period, based on Monday's closing prices.
And bitcoin's recent rally likely isn't over, as Stockton still sees 6% upside potential from its current price of about $50,000 before it runs into minor resistance near $52,900.
"We expect short-term overbought conditions to be weathered long enough for a test of minor resistance near $52,900," Stockton said adding that if bitcoin breaks above that level, the cryptocurrency would target its all-time high of about $65,000, representing potential upside of 30%.
Stockton doesn't think a pullback in bitcoin is imminent, but if it is, potential support could be found near $46,700, representing potential downside of 7%.
Bitcoin now has positive momentum in both the short, medium, and long-term, according to Stockton. "The long-term outlook for bitcoin is bullish, noting bitcoin is above its rising weekly cloud and has positive long-term momentum," Stockton said.
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